Why USMNT Are Likely to Meet a Group B Side in the Round of 32

The 2026 World Cup is still a couple of years away, but the knockout-stage projections are already taking shape. For the United States men's national team, the road to the final may go directly through Group B. Here's why.

How the Group Stage Sets Up the Knockout Bracket

The 48-team World Cup in 2026 will feature 12 groups of four. The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-placed teams, advance to the Round of 32. As the host nation, the USMNT is guaranteed to be in Group A, which historically opens the tournament. The knockout bracket is predetermined – the Group A winner will face the runner-up from Group B. This is a standard pairing at many World Cups, designed to create a clear path for hosts and top seeds.

What This Means for the USMNT

If the United States tops Group A, they will not have to wait long to learn their first knockout opponent. The Group B second-place team – likely a European or South American side – would be the target. While the USMNT should aim to win their group outright, the possibility of facing a strong Group B team early is real. Coaches and analysts will already be studying potential rivals from that group.

The Bigger Picture: Avoiding a Top Seed

The most important incentive for the USMNT is winning Group A. The runner-up from Group B could be a dangerous team, but it is far more favorable than potentially facing the Group A runner-up against the Group B winner. By securing top spot, the Americans keep the bracket manageable and avoid a powerhouse until later rounds.

What It Means

For Gregg Berhalter and his squad, the message is clear: Group A is the launchpad, but Group B is the immediate hurdle. The 2026 draw will reveal which team lies in wait, but the likelihood of a Group B opponent is baked into the tournament's structure. The USMNT must be ready to seize that opportunity.